Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 128.304515 146.309796 166.316083 190.260648 218.226371 249.959066 288.838711
2025-11-16 102.201377 125.442418 153.536871 190.256790 237.360496 296.261409 376.283053
2025-11-23 86.420472 111.743865 144.255466 189.564506 251.880873 335.761121 459.235881
2025-11-30 76.965729 103.793065 139.964515 193.116586 270.617432 381.693213 556.994047
2025-12-07 66.901004 93.298610 130.317895 187.108652 273.992240 405.207550 624.887383
2025-12-14 60.041774 86.269552 124.366741 185.128966 282.259919 436.222553 708.656684
2025-12-21 55.388822 81.805627 121.448450 187.019526 296.278185 477.660878 816.298567
2025-12-28 52.687607 79.905668 122.058435 194.301617 319.700111 537.687702 967.305310
2026-01-04 49.953083 77.606579 121.684464 199.739823 340.476252 595.946339 1126.068819
2026-01-11 46.151156 73.183162 117.341413 197.769441 347.640182 630.188022 1243.878355
2026-01-18 43.877912 71.036798 116.523885 201.793012 366.179641 688.557525 1423.251415
2026-01-25 40.926031 67.457694 112.868021 200.163521 373.571617 725.763457 1563.836938
2026-02-01 38.418002 64.637474 110.644380 201.698383 388.991153 785.365238 1778.281334
2026-02-08 35.999801 61.778800 108.114496 202.455199 403.266073 845.941417 2013.498542
2026-02-15 33.658328 58.826243 105.084641 201.793920 414.386208 901.546325 2251.731905
2026-02-22 32.105918 57.174008 104.318669 205.618448 435.912233 985.605742 2591.782813
2026-03-01 29.540731 53.374164 99.002809 199.166022 432.975576 1009.415142 2766.721611
2026-03-08 27.696897 50.802787 95.868286 197.040111 439.883163 1059.550941 3036.746527
2026-03-15 26.441745 49.272958 94.681309 199.070416 457.186029 1140.600988 3431.842266
2026-03-22 25.828832 48.965474 95.973291 206.892683 490.313048 1272.310572 4044.990307
2026-03-29 25.066904 48.284082 96.400158 212.736261 519.341853 1399.141760 4691.517190
2026-04-05 23.695936 46.225590 93.661551 210.618812 526.663831 1462.974616 5126.122934
2026-04-12 22.938191 45.396713 93.543379 214.942928 552.581763 1590.673610 5869.941051